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The COVID-19 Lightswitch Method

Researchers at Stanford created an interactive model to simulate the results of different long term COVID-19 intervention strategies. The models show that lifting strong social distancing measures too quickly (between 5 and 10 months) will result in a resurgence of cases that could overwhelm hospital capacity. One solution to this in the long term is the lightswitch method, where strong social distancing measures are turned on once a hospital capacity threshold is reached (e.g.

COVID-19 Simulations

The Washington Post publish some fantastic COVD-19 outbreak simulations showing no countermeasures, forced quarantine, social distancing with 1/4 movement and 1/8 movement. The simulations clearly show that social distancing is the most effective at reducing the amount of people that get infected, and the more social distancing the better.

Flatten The Curve

Tomas Pueyo has an excellent post on medium about why it is so important to try to flatten the curve of the COVID-19 pandemic early. The post describes how social distancing and self isolation today can help health systems cope with the high numbers of cases that are inevitable.


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