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The COVID-19 Lightswitch Method

#205
Researchers at Stanford created an interactive model to simulate the results of different long term COVID-19 intervention strategies. The models show that lifting strong social distancing measures too quickly (between 5 and 10 months) will result in a resurgence of cases that could overwhelm hospital capacity. One solution to this in the long term is the lightswitch method, where strong social distancing measures are turned on once a hospital capacity threshold is reached (e.g.
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COVID-19 Simulations

#203
The Washington Post publish some fantastic COVD-19 outbreak simulations showing no countermeasures, forced quarantine, social distancing with 1/4 movement and 1/8 movement. The simulations clearly show that social distancing is the most effective at reducing the amount of people that get infected, and the more social distancing the better.
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Flatten The Curve

#202
Tomas Pueyo has an excellent post on medium about why it is so important to try to flatten the curve of the COVID-19 pandemic early. The post describes how social distancing and self isolation today can help health systems cope with the high numbers of cases that are inevitable.
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